Friday, October 31, 2008
In other news Hank said the Yanks will consider Manny. For the right price I like it but any more than 3 years makes it a bad move for me.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
The general opinion in baseball is that Sabathia will sign with the Yankees.
They also may have interest in Matt Holliday. I don't see the point. He`ll get an expensive extension after the year anyway so why not just sign Texiera or Dunn?
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Sunday, October 19, 2008
"I want to apologize to the New York Yankees and the fans for an error in judgment and for putting myself in a difficult situation," read a statement released by his agents. "I intend to properly resolve this situation, and do not intend to be in such a situation again. My goal is to focus on pitching for the Yankees in the 2009 season."Joba is a good kid, do not judge him by this youthful mistake.
This strikes me as very weird, I doubt Kevin Towers would trade Peavy to a division rival like the Dodgers? I would also think that the Braves would be going into rebuilding mode now. However, the Braves have been considered the favorites for a while now and I have to assume they are serious candidates.
- He thinks that Texiera will probably go to the Yankees. When first reading this I wasn't happy but then I read that he believes the yankees offer would probably be about 6 years, 18-20 million per year. I doubt that would get it done but if it could then it`d be a very good signing. The key with Texiera is how many years, any more than 6-7 years and I`ll be upset with it.
- He reinforces the idea that the Yankees will blow everybody else away, by 30-40% (!) in the C.C. Sabathia bidding. While I would love to get the guy I hope the Yankees stay fairly sane in this.
It seems like those rumors about wanting to bring payroll down to around 180 million dollars are unfounded. That`s probably not happening if they bring in both Sabathia and Texiera.
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Joba Chamberlain was arrested for driving under the influence early Saturday morning near his hometown of Lincoln, Neb.
Deborah Collins, a spokeswoman for the Nebraska State Patrol, said that the 23-year-old Chamberlain was pulled over after being observed speeding in a 2006 BMW 750i shortly after 1 a.m. on U.S. 77.
Chamberlain was arrested after an odor of alcohol was detected and an open container of alcohol was observed on the front passenger seat. Chamberlain was taken to the Cornhusker Place Detox and booked on charges of driving under the influence, having an open container of alcohol and speeding
My first reaction is digust and dissapointment. Yes, he`s only 23 but he should know better. Both as a public figure and a human being he should know better.
He states that (obviously) the Yankees will be aiming for at least one top of the rotation starter. He mentions the obvious names, Sabathia, Lowe, Burnett, and perhaps Sheets. He also confirms that the goal is to get two of them.
Texiera will be a big target this year. I don't like this at all. The contract length scares me. He mentions Manny Ramirez as a backup plan. However, that contradicts Cashman's staement that he wants a first baseman at first base. I would prefer Manny to Texiera but I don't like him either. I was dissapointed that Adam Dunn was not mentioned. Giambi is probably gone.
They`re looking for an upgrade in centefield, presumably through trading. He mentions Phil Hughes and Ian Kennedy, although I doubt Hughes would be dealt for a centerfielder.
Friday, October 17, 2008
If we fail to sign three of Sabathia, Lowe, Mussina, and Pettitte then I think they may have to pull the trigger on that deal, perhaps even add a bit more. Pettitte looks like he`s coming back so they need two of Sabathia, Lowe, and Mussina now.
Thursday, October 16, 2008
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
(Note: This is satirical, please do not take me seriously. But really, as Ken Rosenthal pointed out today, the Red Sox are a really really Caucasian team.)
Hitting coach Kevin Long is the only coach from last year's staff who has a contract for next season.
- Larry Bowa= God No
- Willie Randolf= He got fired from the Mets
- Chuck Norris= Hell Yes
Monday, October 13, 2008
In my previous plan I suggested making these signings, trades, and re-signings without really thinking about payroll:
Re-sign Mike Mussina (7 million)
Re-sign Andy Pettitte (7 million)
Sign Adam Dunn (16 million)
Sign Casey Blake (9 million)
Sign either C.C. Sabathia, or Derek Lowe (22 million or 15 million)
Trade Kennedy, Aceves, Wright, and Melky for David DeJesus (2 million)
These estimated salaries would add up to 56-63 million dollars in added payroll. This brings things all the way up to about 201-208 million million dollars for a 2008 payroll. Although I`m not sure that the 180-185 million dollar cap will be that strictly enforced, I doubt they`ll be all the way up to 210 million dollars.
So how do we cut down on payroll? Firstly, I don't think both Mussina will be back. That brings things down to 194-201 million dollars which is a slight improvement. If Mussina does come back then it probably makes it easier to negotiate with Pettitte if he is willing to come back as well. Trading Damaso Marte could also bring payroll down 7 million dollars. He might bring back some solid prospects. That brings things down to 187-194 million dollars. If they didn't sign Casey Blake it would also bring things down to 178-185 million dollars, right in the range. I don't see them hitting that 180-185 million dollar range.
If I`m the Yankees I just try and bring the payroll down to that 187-193 million dollar range. They should be able to continue bringing down payroll as more bad contracts come off and cheap prospects move into their spots. They shouldn't try and do to much in one year and hurt their chances for the playoffs.
I`d greatly prefer a trade for a guy like David DeJesus. However, Cameron is a better option than trusting Brett Gardner and Melky Cabrera.
Saturday, October 11, 2008
If you want to get insane then could the Yankees get both Gonzalez and Peavy in a huge mega-deal? Hughes+Cano+Montero+Kennedy+another prospect maybe? Then the Yankees would go out and sign Mike Cameron, Orlando Hudson, Casey Blake, and C.C. Sabathia or Derek Lowe. It decimates the farm but both Gonzalez and Peavy are young and relatively cheap. Keep in mind this is just rampant speculation on my part and I haven't thought this through that well.
However, the big problem I have is with his potential replacement. Luis Sojo is being considered. We all remmeber how bad Sojo was at third base coach a few years ago. Don't replace a problem with another problem.
I think they should just pick up the option. They might be able to get more by trading him then by declining the option. Relievers like Marte who are good year after year are rare. Most guys are up and down.
Friday, October 10, 2008
Wednesday, October 8, 2008
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
After much thought I decided to make a ridiculously long post on my plan to fix the Yankees. I made this as realistic as possible. Which means I only suggested one relatively minor trade and it doesn't involve Jake Peavy coming over for Melky Cabrera and Phil Coke. Also, keep in mind that the Yankees can only sign two type A free agents I think. I`m not positive but I`m pretty sure. I would love some comments on this and I promise I`ll respond. First I`ll make a list of the moves I would make, then I`ll go through the roster position by position. If I were Brian Cashman here are the moves I would make:
- Re-sign Mike Mussina (unlikely)
- Re-sign Andy Pettitte (hopeful)
- Offer Abreu arbitration
- Pick up Marte's option
- Let Giambi walk
- Let I-Rod walk
- Leave Joba in the rotation
- Sign Adam Dunn
- Sign Casey Blake
- Sign either C.C. Sabathia, or Derek Lowe
- Trade Kennedy, Aceves, Wright, and Melky for David DeJesus
- Fire Bobby Thomson, move Bobby Meacham to bench coach
- Hire Willie Randolph for first base coach, move Tony Pena to third base coach
Catcher: The biggest question here is how many games Posada can play. Jose Molina is a solid backup with his great defense. They really don't have any other options. I`m worried about the long term situation here. Montero and Romine are far away from the majors. They could consider a trade for one of the Rangers' catchers. However, that`s unlikely and may not be a good move
Third Base: No worries here. A-Rod in a bad year is still amazing.
Shortstop: I`m a little worried about Jeter`s long term future but their`s nothing they can do. Jeter`s fielding is still awful and his hitting is in decline. Next year will be a big one for him.
Second Base: This year will be a big one for Cano. If he plays well then he could re-establish himself as a top second baseman. However, if he has another year like he did in 2008 we may have to look at him the same way we do Melky. However, his BABIP seems to indicate he will bounce back. Kevin Long adjusted his batting stance at the end of the year which also seemed to help. I still love his glove as well. It`d be a mistake to trade Cano right now.
First Base: Possibly the biggest question mark this offseason. Their`s a number of different combinations they could use which I will go over in more detail in a later post. I`m for signing Adam Dunn. People compare him to Giambi, which is fair. However, he`s a much better version of Giambi. He`s a slightly below average fielder and a top tier hitter. Adam Dunn would be a perfect acquistion.
Right-Field: Abreu should be gone now. He shouldn't get a three year deal. Nady can take his place. He`ll probably bounce back to earth from his career year in 2008. However, he`s still a solid player and is cheap.
Center-Field: Another huge question. I definitely think the Yankees need to trade for a centerfielder. I don't trust Gardner and Melky at all. Since I`m unwilling to trade Cano, David DeJesus may be the best option. Kennedy+Aceves+Wright+Melky should get the deal done. DeJesus is not a great centerfielder but he hits, is cheap, and until Austin Jackson is ready he should get the job done.
Left-Field: Damon should fill this role. Ideally, I would trade him while his value is high. However, they need him for next year. He`s a good leftfielder despite his arm and is a solid hitter. The only problem with him is that he`s guarenteed to miss time.
Designated Hitter: Matsui can't play left anymore. He`ll probably fit in here. This next year will be a big one for him, he`s a free agent after 2009. I think he can still hit fairly well. However, he`s also a major injury concern.
Backup Catcher: Molina is a pretty good backup. Its very hard to find a good backup catcher but Molina at least fields well. He showed signs of decline last year in extended playing time and he`s no substitue for Posada. However, he`s the best they have.
4th Outfielder: Brett Gardner is a good fielder and could be a pinch-runner. I don't have high expectations for him long-term. However, as a 4th outfielder he`s pretty good. At some point Austin Jackson may be able to move into this spot.
Infielder/Outfielder: I would advocate signing Casey Blake for this. He can rotate through the many positions he plays and get enough playing time that he`d be essentially a regular. Somebody is sure to get hurt and rather than let injuries kill you like last year, why not sign a backup you can trust for an extended period of time? If they gave him a few extra million dollars he could certainly adjust to rotating through different positions.
Backup First Baseman: Juan Miranda could be a solid pinch hitter off the bench. He kills righties and I really see no better way to use this roster spot.
SP1: C.C. Sabathia would ideally fill this spot. He could be the best pitcher to ever hit free agency. The Yankees should throw all the money they can at him. If he says no thanks then they need to try and get Derek Lowe. Lowe is a solid innings eater you can trust. Burnett and Sheets are flashier but not as trustworthy.
SP2: If Sabathia is signed then Wang could fill the role he should be willing, rather than be forced into the role of ace. He should be healthy and counted on for 200 solid innings. The only problem with Wang is that he`s reliant on luck as a ground ball pitcher. He showed signs that he could be growing less reliant on ground balls before 2008. If this is a trend then its certainly a good thing.
SP3: Joba belongs here. If the Yankees' doctors believe he can handle starting, I`m not going to argue. Also, does anybody seriously still think he`s more valuable in the bullpen?
SP4: I`d be surprised if Pettitte did not re-sign. He`s a valuable innings eater. The Yankees need that type of player. He seems to want to keep pitching as well.
SP5: Mussina I`m more doubtful about. Girardi said it seems like he`s leaning towards retirement. If he wants to come back I`d be willing to give him three years at about 7 million a year. He`s reinvented himself and could be a good pitcher for a few more years. If not, then they`re going to have to try Hughes again.
Bullpen: The bullpen is actually a strength for once. The Yankees need to continue trying out guys with good arms and seeing who works. Mark Melancon is clearly a guy to watch. Keep praying that Rivera stays healthy.
- Internal Options: These are not very good. The possibilities are pretty much Shelley Duncan and Juan Miranda. Neither of these two guys are good enough to play everyday, so if first base came down to players from within the system it would probably be a platoon. However, if it were to come down to that, it would be better to just...
- Re-sign Giambi: Jason has a $22 million option for next year, with a $5 million option, so it is basically a $17 million question. Giambi has been great for the Yankees over his contract, even despite the lost seasons of 2005 and 2007. However, he will be 38 next year, and it is time to move on. On the other hand, if the Yankees are unable to sign a replacement, one more year of Giambi would be okay.
- Mark Teixeira: Clearly the best all-around option for first base, but there are questions about the contract he wants. He is a Scott Boras client, and there have been reports that he wants an A-Rod type contract. I would be opposed to a contract of that length and magnitude, instead would advocate the signing of...
- Adam Dunn: While he is nowhere near the fielder of Teixeira, he is very close to him offensively. What is more attractive is that will probably require a much shorter and less-expensive contract than Teixeira. Also, he can play the outfield occasionally, and with Matsui leaving after 2009, he could be moved to DH after just one season at first, allowing Jorge Posada to move to move to first, which will probably be necessary in the near future.
- Trade: Really the only first basemen I have seen as a legitimate trade candidate is Prince Fielder. While it would be great to acquire Prince, I don't think the Yankees would be willing to part with the prospects necessary to get that deal done.
- Xavier Nady: Nady has experience at first base, and the Yankees could instead opt to put the X man at first and instead sign a right fielder. Candidates for that job would probably be Dunn, Burrell, Abreu, Raul Ibanez, and Juan Rivera.
Monday, October 6, 2008
Rather than hand out a long term deal to Adam Dunn, Manny Ramirez, or Mark Texiera, the Yankees could trade for Ordonez. He has 18 million dollars due to him in 2009, an option for 18 million for 2010, and an option for 2011 for 15 million. I doubt it will happen, it would force Matsui or Damon to first base which Cashman doesn't want. However, it`s an interesting idea.
Sunday, October 5, 2008
At first glance its exciting, but then I started thinking about what it would take to get him. Peavy is an ace who is under a relatively short contract, his salary is low considering how good he is, and he`s not a free agent for a few more years. To get Peavy it would take something like Hughes, Cano, Jackson, and Kennedy. The Yankees can't afford to make a deal like that. They have to many holes to focus all of their prospects on one guy, no matter how good. Another factor to consider is the limit on how many Type A free agents you can sign. I think this year its two.
Unless both Pettitte and Mussina re-sign and they sign a free agent starter, Hughes will probably be the Yankees 5th starter. Hughes is still the guy who was considered among the best prospects in baseball a year or two ago. Besides, trading for Peavy doesn't affect the need to sign either Sabathia or Lowe.
Cano's value is at its lowest right now. However, his potential is impossible to ignore. His contract is still favorable to the Yankees if he performs the way he should. He`s a great fielder and we all know about his hitting potential. His new batting stance may help him regain his form. If he`s traded they have no middle infield prospects who could come up any time soon to take his place. They`ll need to sign a guy like Orlando Hudson who`s old and an injury risk. Right away that`s your two Type A free agents.
Jackson is hopefully the Yankees future centerfielder. Some think he may be ready by August of 2009. I think this may be a bit optimistic. However, I do have high hopes for him. If the Yankees make this trade it also makes it very hard to make another trade for a centerfielder. Do you really want to go into the year relying 100 percent on Melky Cabrera and Brett Gardner? They would also have no other long term option in sight.
Kennedy's ceiling is still only a #3 or #4 guy. He obviously isn't ready yet either. I think he has a much better chance of succeding in the NL, particularly in Petco. He`s not a big loss for the Yankees. However, he adds depth and is a valuable trade chip.
On top of all of this you are unable to sign a guy like Adam Dunn or Manny Ramirez to help out with the LF/1B/DH mess. The Yankees only need one of Jackson/Cano/Hughes to fulfill their potential to justify not making the trade. I had the same problem with the Santana trade. In general, blockbuster trades for guys like Peavy or Santana is a mistake.
SP- Wang, Joba
I don't think there are any holes in the bullpen that can't be filled internally, so I didn't list it. The Yankees have said that Jorge will be able to catch 120 games next year, so until there is evidence to the contrary, I will assume that the Yankees do not need another catcher. Later in the week, I will go over possible ways to fill the holes at first, center, right, and in the rotation.
Saturday, October 4, 2008
Big news for New York!
The most popular option is Mark Texiera. Clearly, he`s the best guy available and would change first base from a weakness to a position we can count on. However, he`s looking for a ten year deal. That would carry him through until he`s 38. He probably won't get that. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Angels try and make him the team's new franchise player with Geuerrero aging. They could easily give him 8 years. We already made that mistake with Giambi. As soon as we get out from under one bad deal do you want to give a new one out?
Adam Dunn is also popular. He`s a great and very underrated hitter. His style is very similar to Giambi. However, he`s better. His defense isn't great. However, its merely slightly below average instead of truly awful. He`s younger and hits better than Giambi. He`d be a huge help for the offense. He adds some versatility in that he can play left field (although he`s not good) as well.
Manny Ramirez would aso be a flashy signing. He`s the best hitter available. He`d be expensive but I could see him signing for 3 years which isn't really that bad. The only problem with Ramirez is that he would force Matsui to move to first base. Cashman has said he doesn't want that. Sure, he hits better than Dunn but is the defensive fall-off at first base worth it? The price tag may also cause the Yankees to look at other guys. I`d love to see Manny in pinstripes, however, I find it unlikely.
Bobby Abreu could be back. However, it would, like Manny, force Matsui to move to first base. If he`d take a 2 year deal I couldn't complain. However, I doubt that`ll happen. They`d be best looking at Dunn or Manny.
If we can get him for 2 years and an option or less I might change my mind. However, for three years or more? No thanks.
RHP Mariano Rivera will undergo arthroscopic surgery on his right shoulder on Tuesday, October 7. The procedure will be performed by Dr. David Altchek at the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York.
Friday, October 3, 2008
The Yankees are aiming to push their payroll down to about 180 million dollars. I`m pretty happy about this. They still have enough money to bring in a top free agent or two. I`m sick of hearing about the Yankees payroll from Mets and Boston fans. Maybe some Yankees fans will realize we can't go and sign K-Rod, Sabathia, and Texiera.
Ben Sheets has been an ace when healthy. He flat out dominates and could be the true #1 the Yankees would love to get. However, their's two problems with him. First, he`d be coming over from the NL. Second, he`s a HUGE injury risk. This screams of the Carl Pavano signing. Its extremely tempting to go after him. However, ideally I would say no.
A.J. Burnett is probably the most popular of these guys among Yankees fans. He`s pitched in the AL East for the past few years and he`s killed the Yankees and Red Sox. Again though, their`s problems. He`s only slightly less of an injury risk then Sheets and he`s really not been as good. He`s been hyped as an ace which he just isn't. I`m totally against signing Burnett. I think it would be a major mistake.
Derek Lowe is the least hyped of these guys. Nobody would mistake him for an ace but he`s a reliable #3 or #2. He`s had no major injury problems. He`s a ground ball pitcher but he also maintains a very good K/BB. He`s also been through the AL East before. Looking back at his last year in Boston it seems like a disaster. However, his periphereals indicate it was more a lack of luck then a lack of skill.
Their`s pretty much no guarantees for the Yankees rotation next year. Wang should be fine but is coming off of an injury, Pettitte and Mussina may not be back and if they are then they will still be one year older, Hughes/Aceves/Kennedy are certainly no sure things, and I would hesitate to call Joba a sure thing as well. Do you want to gamble on a Ben Sheets or A.J. Burnett as well? I think they need to take the safe bet in Lowe and hope Hughes and Joba can emerge as front end of the rotation starters.
Thursday, October 2, 2008
So, they`re probably going to have to trade for somebody. Nate McLouth, Matt Kemp, and David DeJesus have all been suggested.
Matt Kemp would be great to get. Cano for Kemp rumors were suggested at the trade deadline and now they`ve been revived. However, they seem unlikely to me. Besides, I`m not sure I`d be willing to give up Cano and other prospects for Kemp.
David DeJesus and Nate McLouth are much better options. They`re not great fielders, however, they can hold their own and, hopefully, Austin Jackson can bump them over to right or left field in 2010. Neither are to old and both are cheap.
Could Kennedy, Wright, Gardner, and Britton get a deal done for either of them? They would be getting two potential starters, an immediate replacement in centerfield, and a solid reliever who, for whatever reason, will never get a shot with the Yankees. I`m just speculating right now and I`d love any thoughts on this trade proposal in the comments section, even if you think I`m a ridiculous homer.
Wednesday, October 1, 2008
He can play first base, DH, second base, third base, left and right field and hits very well. If they rotated him through these different positions he could easily get into 5 or 6 games a week. He may not like this rotation but if the Yankees gave him an extra few million dollars it should convince him. When they run into an injury they`ll be able to avoid a huge drop-off or a panic trade. I`d be shocked if one of Cano, Damon, Matsui, whoever they sign for first, A-Rod, Jeter, and Nady didn't miss significant time.
The Yankees haev enough money that they can afford to have a good bench. However, for the past few years its been pretty pathetic. Blake would go a long way to solving it.
I`m going to be rooting for the Cubs this year in the playoffs. Lets be honest, don't you kind of feel bad for Cubs fans? They`re the last of the teams with a really, really long streak of years without a championship. Boston won and the White Sox won. Now only the Cubs are left.
For some reason I find the White Sox really annoying. Ozzie Guillen is just a moron who was lucky enough to get a great group of players in 2005. If he wins a World Series people will begin considering him for the Hall of Fame. That would be a tragedy for me.
Although I respect the Angels they always kill the Yankees. I`ll root for them in the first round against Boston but that`s it.
The Red Sox are evil incarnate ;). I`m actually rooting for the Angels to beat them.
Tampa would be my next pick after the Cubs but their fans don't deserve a World Series. They don't come the games even now.
I have nothing against the Phillies but nothing for them either. Same thing basically for the Brewers.
I really don't feel like hearing about how Joe Torre went to another team and won a championship proving the Yankees wrong, so that rules the Dodgers out.
I`m really happy about this. When I first heard about the Yankees plan to repeat what they did in 2008 with Joba I was dissapointed. Now we have two slots in the rotation filled.
Angels over Red Sox
Rays over White Sox
Phillies over Brewers
Cubs over Dodgers
Angels over Rays
Cubs over Phillies
Cubs over Angels
There you have it, the Cubs will end their 100 year drought and win the World Series.